Table 5. Posterior summary of Model 4: Unit-level characteristics

Parameter Mean SD 5% HDI 95% HDI MCSE mean MCSE SD R-hat
α[Seoul] 0.0084 0.0064 –0.0014 0.0184 0.0001 0.0001 1.00
α[Busan] 0.0023 0.0062 –0.0070 0.0129 0.0001 0.0001 1.00
α[Daegu] 0.0049 0.0071 –0.0058 0.0171 0.0001 0.0001 1.00
α[Incheon] –0.0003 0.0064 –0.0118 0.0100 0.0001 0.0001 1.00
α[Gwangju] –0.0032 0.0071 –0.0147 0.0081 0.0001 0.0001 1.00
α[Daejeon] –0.0073 0.0077 –0.0205 0.0034 0.0002 0.0001 1.00
α[Ulsan] –0.0049 0.0074 –0.0177 0.0056 0.0001 0.0001 1.00
β0 (intercept) –0.0097 0.0010 –0.0114 –0.0078 0.0000 0.0000 1.00
β1 (national-level momentum effect) –0.4408 0.0051 –0.4470 –0.4338 0.0001 0.0001 1.00
β2 (transaction volume) 0.0049 0.0003 0.0044 0.0054 0.0000 0.0000 1.00
β3 (price volatility) 0.0018 0.0001 0.0016 0.0020 0.0000 0.0000 1.00
σ (residual SD) 0.1058 0.0001 0.1056 0.1060 0.0000 0.0000 1.00
σα (city-level momentum effect SD) 0.0098 0.0062 0.0008 0.0173 0.0001 0.0001 1.00
σδ (district-level momentum effect SD) 0.0145 0.0026 0.0100 0.0185 0.0001 0.0001 1.01
Note: This table reports the posterior summaries for the Model 4. The posterior mean and SD represent the central tendency and dispersion of the estimated parameters. The 5% and 95% highest density intervals (HDIs) define the central 90% credible region for each parameter. Monte Carlo standard errors (MCSE) assess the numerical accuracy of the posterior mean and SD estimates. R-hat values close to 1 indicate satisfactory convergence across Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) chains. The parameter α[city] denotes the city-level momentum effect. District-level momentum effects (δk) are not reported here due to the limited space.